Icy-Toothpick
0x508e13cc250af936ea215e7d5efeda902896ca0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$105.25
Total PnL
$-83.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 21?
51 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$51.28
$0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 21?
31 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$31.13
$1.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 21?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$22.84
$2.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 21?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 21?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 5?
43 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 5?
38 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1?
17 shares @ 90.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 21?$50.85Apr 20, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 21?$30.00Apr 20, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 21?$20.00Apr 20, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on April 14?$50.19Apr 20, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on April 14?$50.66Apr 20, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on April 14?$50.56Apr 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on April 14?$50.00Apr 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$25.15Apr 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?$25.03Apr 14, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?$25.07Apr 14, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 9?$25.32Apr 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?$25.00Apr 8, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?$25.00Apr 8, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$25.00Apr 8, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 9?$25.00Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$26.12Apr 8, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on April 7?$30.09Apr 8, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 7?$30.17Apr 8, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on April 7?$30.32Apr 8, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?$59.73Apr 8, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $169.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".