Fragrant-Adulthood
0x508e18c86b025b62b69f45df79ccebe281c0a99e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.80
Total PnL
$-951.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 17.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.80
$2.80
- REAL MADRID CF
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
437 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.48
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
211 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-11.97
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
70 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
49 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-6.88
- YES
Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-01-12?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
41 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- REAL MADRID CF
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
36 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC end in a draw?
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$3.74Apr 15, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)$18.00Apr 15, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?$4.55Jan 16, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMAdelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot$4.69Jan 16, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$5.26Jan 16, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)$6.52Jan 16, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?$3.17Jan 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBinghamton Bearcats vs. Albany Great Danes$2.00Jan 15, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?$3.00Jan 15, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?$2.00Jan 15, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)$3.00Jan 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)$3.00Jan 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$3.00Jan 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot$3.00Jan 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)$4.00Jan 15, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)$4.84Jan 15, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMVillanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friars$5.17Jan 15, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?$6.67Jan 15, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?$6.78Jan 15, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?$7.02Jan 15, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".