Agitated-Slapstick
0x509220b7c00a0ee49a14db04083da8664ce9b478
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$19.88
Total PnL
$-2.75
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.26
$0.00
- NO
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.06
$0.00
- NO
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.51
$0.51
- NO
America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Jackson Hinkle indicted in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$289.71Nov 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$4.00Nov 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$3.00Nov 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.00Nov 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$291.77Nov 12, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$308.98Nov 12, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$311.55Nov 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 12, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?$3.00Nov 12, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$1.09Nov 12, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.32Nov 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?$1.00Sep 24, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 24, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 24, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul join the America Party?$2.22Sep 24, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMCongressman joins the America Party before August?$2.17Sep 24, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon apologize to Trump before August?$2.17Sep 24, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmerica Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?$1.00Jul 7, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul join the America Party?$2.00Jul 7, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $36.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".