Intent-Plantation
0x50936370f48b7c7f87016ae8ec1462d0200a272c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
88%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?
81200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-93.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 9?
80328 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-117.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6?
74578 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-74.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?
72207 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-72.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20?
72181 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-131.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 19?
72000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-147.53
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?
52814 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?
46718 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-97.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?
39007 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-44.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 16?
36333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-64.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 28?$0.01Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 28?$0.03Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.01Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.03Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 28?$0.03Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?$0.40Jul 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on July 28?$0.36Jul 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 28?$0.01Jul 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 28?$0.01Jul 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on July 28?$0.04Jul 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 28?$0.01Jul 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
57 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.