0x509b68314beaedfdbfda4e1fbb05e9e257d965d0
0x509b68314beaedfdbfda4e1fbb05e9e257d965d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
138
Open notional
$3.46
Total PnL
$-134.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 4?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on May 19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 16?
95 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 20?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 19?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 16?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$1.64Jun 15, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13?$1.82Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12?$1.82Jun 13, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$1.56Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12?$1.69Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?$1.59Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12?$1.79Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?$2.86Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?$1.03Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$1.64Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12?$1.69Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 12, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12?$1.67Jun 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?$1.03Jun 12, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?$1.56Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12?$1.02Jun 12, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.