Flimsy-Separation
0x509d9f0a0c4c2d38385f5dd845ef86edc0800f6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.4K
Realised
$-5.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
17600 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.1K
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?
12613 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.9K
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
5950 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-697.94
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
5750 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-797.48
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
5700 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
4258 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-629.08
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
3637 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
2950 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-65.91
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
2759 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
2475 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-638.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$586.27Dec 6, 12:51 UTC
- REWARD$3.08Dec 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$259.76Dec 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$122.93Dec 5, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$3.07Dec 5, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$546.00Dec 5, 01:46 UTC
- REWARD$1.35Dec 5, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Dec 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$656.00Dec 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$320.00Dec 3, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$905.38Nov 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.1KNov 24, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$240.00Nov 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$6.0KNov 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$12.28Nov 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$4.17Nov 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$4.17Nov 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$0.20Nov 12, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$6.40Nov 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$0.20Nov 11, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $248.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".