Rotten-Mansion
0x509e05e4ae1bd3a0d8b03e03a4b66342d20f63ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-391.58
Realised
$170.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
4249 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-250.79
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2977 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1434 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will another candidate win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be more than 84%?
972 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-19.60
- YES
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
216 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
180 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- BLUE
Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
147 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$12.52Apr 12, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00Apr 12, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$0.00Apr 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.34Apr 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.57Apr 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$6.07Apr 12, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.55Apr 12, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.38Apr 12, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$25.00Apr 5, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$30.00Mar 10, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.00Mar 6, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.00Mar 6, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.00Mar 6, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$72.37Mar 2, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$69.22Feb 5, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$100.00Sep 22, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$60.00Sep 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$25.00Sep 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 81 and 84%?$0.42Sep 10, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Sep 9, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $46.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 12:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".