Ugly-Vintner
0x50a93437f131d86c31547be9334ad9a53a588e8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.35
Total PnL
$-8.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BILLS
Bills vs. Texans
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?$2.00Jan 9, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22M committed to the Space public sale?$2.00Jan 9, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$1.14Jan 9, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$1.16Jan 9, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$3.17Jan 9, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Timberwolves$3.00Dec 17, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.00Dec 7, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?$1.12Dec 7, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?$1.00Nov 30, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??$1.00Nov 30, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Texans$1.00Nov 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 20, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.23Nov 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.52Nov 5, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Raptors$150.00Nov 5, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Raptors$4.23Nov 4, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Raptors$87.27Nov 4, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$1.10Nov 4, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?$1.22Nov 4, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $36.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.