Spotted-Spelling
0x50af84ca2600c1d27846a0e4347db7f1dc1e8b52
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-452.24
Realised
$-16.14
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 21?
1881 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1830 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 19?
1056 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 21?
1017 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.74Apr 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.15Apr 29, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$206.49Apr 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?$275.06Apr 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$94.46Apr 22, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?$0.74Apr 21, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?$0.08Apr 21, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.78Apr 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 21?$0.45Apr 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.00Apr 21, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.83Apr 21, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.58Apr 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$3.57Apr 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.40Apr 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.08Apr 21, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.00Apr 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 21?$0.00Apr 21, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.