Junior-Lumber
0x50b57b848c019fb7cc82a4495a9f8d76f8d50f9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
124 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
61 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Feb 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$2.00Feb 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$2.00Feb 13, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$1.00Feb 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$1.00Feb 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? $1.00Feb 13, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?$1.00Feb 13, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?$1.00Feb 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEgypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$2.00Feb 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?$2.00Feb 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.00Feb 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$2.00Feb 12, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 12, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$2.00Feb 12, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".