Well-Informed-Fortress
0x50b9000f420d0682c37a8d2bfcbde4b3f6ef738a
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$25.43
Total PnL
$-0.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Amazon reach $320 in January?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$6.37
$0.03
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $550 end of January?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA reach $272 in January?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon reach $320 in January?$6.34Jan 4, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January?$1.00Jan 4, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $550 end of January?$1.00Jan 4, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $272 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on January 7?$1.00Jan 4, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on January 6?$1.00Jan 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 5?$1.00Jan 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.40 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?$1.00Jan 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 6?$1.00Jan 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".