Sweltering-Conifer
0x50b9e4ca59b767769cc2de13ad9fc688de1d4467
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$-148.40
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
7200 shares @ 68.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.7K
$-1.2K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
9830 shares @ 31.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-1.2K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2975 shares @ 56.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.3K
$-386.37
- YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2681 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$152.82
$-19.19
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
524 shares @ 32.9¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.35
$-22.95
- YES
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
551 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$115.72
$0.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$62.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2993 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$38.91
$9.36
- NO
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
69 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$21.87
$2.43
- YES
Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
753 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$13.56
$1.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$298.77Jun 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$300.00Jun 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$104.82Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$102.00Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$2.50Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$207.48Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$470.00Jun 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$451.60Jun 13, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$203.60Jun 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$204.08Jun 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$55.88Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$6.49Jun 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$695.63Jun 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$339.46Jun 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$15.45Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$15.45Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$0.65Jun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$0.75Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$60.45Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$180.00Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $150.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.