Juvenile-Ascent
0x50bd3228630a50e7881f02e1dcbf3ced5393185c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-989.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
95460 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-95.46
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
60000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
11108 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-66.65
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
6306 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-329.67
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
5427 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
4318 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.86
- YES
Will the US strike Mexico next?
2926 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$70.80Mar 27, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$66.65Mar 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$23.83Mar 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$13.06Mar 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$11.37Mar 6, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 6, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 6, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$30.00Mar 6, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$31.49Feb 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$37.54Feb 22, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$46.50Feb 19, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$30.00Feb 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$50.00Feb 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$25.86Jan 31, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$20.00Jan 31, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$106.49Jan 31, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$17.21Jan 31, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $8.65Jan 31, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?$17.21Jan 31, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $37.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.