0x50c24dcf97f2d091d1f4577d663bb47794b46d37
0x50c24dcf97f2d091d1f4577d663bb47794b46d37
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?
1000 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-420.00
- RAPOSO
Sumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposo
905 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-389.15
- NO
Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
840 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-596.40
- MINAUR
Monte-Carlo Masters: Musetti vs. Minaur
820 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-459.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?
680 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-428.40
- EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
UEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt (To Advance)
560 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-201.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?
95 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-39.90
- YES
Will Liberals lead by 4-5% on April 4?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- VUCENIC
Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris Duncan
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Fiorentina beat Empoli? $5.00Apr 28, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$5.00Apr 28, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?$16.80Apr 27, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?$22.40Apr 27, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fiorentina beat Empoli? $2.65Apr 26, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?$24.75Apr 26, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$1.15Apr 26, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?$24.75Apr 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$25.00Apr 26, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$18.50Apr 23, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Patronis win by 25-30%?$300.00Apr 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMRajasthan Royals vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore$1.0KApr 14, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMPGL Bucharest: Complexity vs. G2$845.00Apr 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonte-Carlo Masters: Musetti vs. Minaur$64.40Apr 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonte-Carlo Masters: Musetti vs. Minaur$176.40Apr 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonte-Carlo Masters: Musetti vs. Minaur$50.40Apr 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonte-Carlo Masters: Musetti vs. Minaur$165.20Apr 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonte-Carlo Masters: Musetti vs. Minaur$2.80Apr 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposo$389.15Apr 12, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGL Bucharest: Complexity vs. G2$140.00Apr 12, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $136.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.