0x50ce9bc6264969f28d44338f39a3fe693b205b4a
0x50ce9bc6264969f28d44338f39a3fe693b205b4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$15.88
Total PnL
$-74.31
Realised
$-37.58
Win rate
5%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 9?
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$15.88
$14.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 9?
168 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 3?
72 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 3?
56 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on March 30?
52 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 3?
52 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 1?
35 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on March 30?
34 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 30?
25 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 30?
19 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.10May 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.05May 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.05May 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 3?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 9?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on April 1?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 30?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 3?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on March 30?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 9?$0.00May 9, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 9?$0.00May 9, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on March 30?$0.00May 9, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on March 30?$0.00May 9, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 9?$0.00May 9, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 30?$0.00May 9, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 30?$0.00May 9, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on March 30?$0.00May 9, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.