Complicated-Minute
0x50cf709ce32f8481f20636dc2bdf483105c90369
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$9.67
Total PnL
$-101.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
142 shares @ 70.3¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.67
$-90.33
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 43.0 on October 31 2025?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$0.00Mar 20, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$0.00Mar 20, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill VVD win fewer than 14 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Mar 20, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$0.00Mar 20, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?$100.00Jan 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$94.38Dec 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $96.67Dec 22, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $100.00Dec 21, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$100.00Dec 21, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMOver $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$111.11Dec 21, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$100.00Dec 14, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$59.99Dec 14, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$50.00Dec 2, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.01Dec 1, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$33.89Dec 1, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $57.56Dec 1, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$108.59Dec 1, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $32.80Nov 26, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$100.00Nov 26, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$20.79Nov 23, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $42.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".