Tedious-Propane
0x50dd40229703204f1c63785b77bd42d5788843bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$15.27
Total PnL
$-85.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 36.1¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$5.03
$4.03
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.56
$1.56
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.53
$1.53
- YES
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
13 shares @ 7.7¢·now 6.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.65
$-0.35
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?$1.48Feb 10, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 10, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.00Feb 10, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.34Feb 10, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.18Feb 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $200 in February?$1.00Feb 10, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 10?$1.00Feb 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $50 on February 10?$1.00Feb 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$1.00Feb 10, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor reach $11.50 in February?$1.00Feb 10, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$1.00Feb 10, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$1.00Feb 10, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.