Massive-Mainstream
0x50e11af3a14c8f0a54d3a4f1a807134317bdc79c
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$87.73
Total PnL
$-494.78
Realised
$8.79
Win rate
5%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?
86 shares @ 40.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$38.94
$3.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?
107 shares @ 32.7¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$30.54
$-4.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 15?
182 shares @ 13.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$18.25
$-6.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?
172 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 21?
118 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 23?
110 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 15?
94 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?
92 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?
88 shares @ 79.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?
74 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?$36.03Aug 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?$36.18Aug 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?$39.65Aug 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?$39.73Aug 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 15?$26.08Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?$10.25Aug 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 14?$35.80Aug 12, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?$0.00Aug 12, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?$49.18Aug 12, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?$109.40Aug 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?$30.58Aug 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?$30.79Aug 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?$36.19Aug 10, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?$36.36Aug 10, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?$25.46Aug 9, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?$113.24Aug 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 9?$32.68Aug 9, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?$30.53Aug 9, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 9?$15.41Aug 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?$30.83Aug 9, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $29.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.