Rectangular-Banjo
0x50e3f964e9d1316f56d504d93458d95a6b7fc0bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
143
Open notional
$15.36
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- HOUSTON ASTROS
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros
9 shares @ 57.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.75
$3.75
- ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$4.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
91 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.77
$-2.23
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
25 shares @ 40.6¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.49
$-9.51
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
13056 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.98
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
7871 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.99
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
319 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- BRAZIL
First Round Pool B: Brazil vs. USA
293 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
263 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Houston Astros$2.04Jul 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$1.03Jul 23, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$2.05Jul 23, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.05Jul 23, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.04Jul 23, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Houston Astros$3.07Jul 23, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$3.57Jul 23, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever$2.08Jul 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. New York Liberty$1.04Jul 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$3.64Jul 22, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$3.39Jul 22, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$3.92Jul 22, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$2.05Jul 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.05Jul 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$2.04Jul 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.04Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$2.05Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 19, 15:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.