Single-Apse
0x50e67a42fbdf6c11b55bb5e0e3a2132299c34c22
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$118.26
Total PnL
$-106.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$42.11
$2.11
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
42 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$41.65
$1.65
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 72.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.51
$-15.49
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
24 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Split Fiction win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$10.34Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMSBF released from custody in 2025?$10.68Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$20.70Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$31.41Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$52.36Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$53.76Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$54.29Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$55.83Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$56.82Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?$61.58Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$40.00Feb 28, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$40.00Feb 28, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$114.81Dec 1, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$80.00Nov 17, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by January 31?$101.50Nov 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$13.00Nov 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $50.00Nov 9, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$10.00Nov 6, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by January 31?$100.00Nov 6, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$10.00Nov 6, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $33.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.