Difficult-Kick
0x50e6c9781f845bc613d41a1ac6357eb36366b490
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$108.22
Total PnL
$-74.23
Realised
$-1.45
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on August 23?
29 shares @ 65.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$26.80
$7.66
- DALLAS WINGS
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings
28 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$21.96
$-0.14
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
26 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$12.83
$-0.13
- FUT ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
50 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$12.73
$0.25
- FUT ESPORTS
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
29 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$12.26
$-0.43
- INDIANA FEVER
Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)
24 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$11.93
$-0.83
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on August 23?
171 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$6.84
$-5.13
- JD GAMING
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs
32 shares @ 47.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.88
$-12.42
- DIGNITAS
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.84
- DIGNITAS
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
31 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings$22.34Aug 23, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?$13.28Aug 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on August 23?$7.23Aug 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on August 23?$9.87Aug 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 on August 23?$12.75Aug 23, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 23?$12.85Aug 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)$13.05Aug 23, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on August 23?$19.61Aug 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 23?$13.17Aug 23, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)$13.05Aug 23, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$13.16Aug 23, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$12.95Aug 23, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs$15.70Aug 23, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-22?$55.59Aug 23, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5$0.00Aug 23, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5$32.35Aug 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-22?$13.44Aug 23, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-22?$27.33Aug 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.00 in August?$0.17Aug 23, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.80 in August?$0.14Aug 23, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.