Lopsided-Daddy
0x50ebfbe091ee2193dd5acca8a684379b9fbf027f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$48.13
Total PnL
$0.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
34 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$34.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
11 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$11.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$1.41
$0.01
- NO
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.21
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.40Feb 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$11.00Jan 4, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?$1.31Jan 4, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?$13.01Jan 4, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?$13.00Dec 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.20Dec 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$34.00Dec 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?$1.30Nov 25, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS adds between 250k and 300k jobs in August?$5.90Sep 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBournemouth wins the Premier League?$7.21Sep 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$7.97Sep 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBournemouth wins the Premier League?$7.22Sep 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$7.55Sep 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$7.98Sep 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$9.59Sep 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$7.57Sep 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$6.70Sep 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$9.60Sep 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?$7.86Sep 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United wins the Premier League?$6.73Sep 28, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.