Naive-Mist
0x50f9b18bf0b6a9504359708e01942cde750d9c80
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.92
Total PnL
$-51.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
141 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.74
$-0.26
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
110 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
44 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NOVAK DJOKOVIC
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- VICTORIA MBOKO
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchova
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- MCNEESE STATE COWBOYS
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$15.063h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.193h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.173h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.0025d ago
- REDEEMConnecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils$66.5228d ago
- REDEEMMiami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils$0.0033d ago
- REDEEMMiami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils$10.0033d ago
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils$10.0033d ago
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchova$4.8038d ago
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils$5.9038d ago
- TRADESELLWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.7038d ago
- REDEEMSiena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$9.9738d ago
- TRADEBUYMcNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores$1.2043d ago
- TRADEBUYSiena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$7.7843d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.4043d ago
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$10.0051d ago
- TRADESELLBNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$5.0051d ago
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$5.0051d ago
- TRADESELLBNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$17.6051d ago
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$16.8051d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 110d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".