Treasured-Pin
0x510c6206e7e70d4e61cdb93bc43bd75893b84dcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.77
Total PnL
$-201.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.77
$-4.23
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
259 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.85
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
141 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-87.31
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
67 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during July Press Conference?
52 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?
41 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$87.31Dec 12, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMArkansas vs. Texas$87.31Nov 23, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas vs. Texas$68.10Nov 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLCowboys vs. Raiders$68.10Nov 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Raiders$43.63Nov 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$43.63Nov 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$67.85Oct 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$67.85Oct 21, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$22.07Aug 8, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$8.00Aug 8, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$30.00Aug 8, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Aug 8, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?$65.07Aug 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?$15.72Aug 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$15.72Aug 7, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$181.61Aug 5, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$31.19Aug 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$55.34Aug 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$95.07Aug 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$26.56Aug 1, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $42.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".