Zany-Flood
0x5111adb7532a50f7d20c8f2d0aa64561a91c4562
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$20.92
Total PnL
$-763.99
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$20.92
$10.46
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8AM ET
1476 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-738.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
15 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- YES
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
15 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$10.83Jul 21, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.43Jun 5, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.55Apr 27, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bilal Coulibaly win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Apr 27, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMOver $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$4.96Apr 27, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$3.00Apr 19, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$3.80Mar 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$4.90Feb 28, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?$14.73Feb 28, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Rigged Election" on Truth Social this week?$14.66Feb 28, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?$5.97Feb 28, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?$2.40Feb 26, 02:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.40Feb 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?$3.08Feb 25, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?$7.72Feb 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Rigged Election" on Truth Social this week?$4.62Feb 25, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Rigged Election" on Truth Social this week?$8.58Feb 25, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$4.00Feb 25, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$4.00Feb 25, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$4.00Feb 25, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $24.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.