0x5115160eb59eb7f82e0af3f0c9f0d340ad8fe1a2
0x5115160eb59eb7f82e0af3f0c9f0d340ad8fe1a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.13
Total PnL
$-313.35
Realised
$-23.34
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
300 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2022$0.12
$-41.92
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2022 World Cup?
50 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2022$0.01
$-0.33
- NO
Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2022$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles?
100 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2022$0.00
$-14.32
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
NHL: Will the Oilers beat the Kings by more than 1.5 goals in their April 7, 10:30 PM ET matchup?
80 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2022$0.00
$-23.57
- BRONCOS
NFL Thursday: Colts vs. Broncos
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2022$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2023$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League?
30 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2022$0.00
$-4.71
- NO
World Cup: Sunday - Will Croatia beat Canada?
20 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2022$0.00
$-0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEM[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$100.00Dec 13, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEM[Single Market] Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$400.00Dec 13, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEM[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Dec 13, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season?$50.00Dec 31, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals)$300.00Dec 31, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Saturday - Will Poland beat Saudi Arabia?$75.00Mar 23, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win the 2022 World Cup?$250.00Mar 23, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane?$10.00Mar 23, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark qualify from Group D?$160.00Mar 23, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMNBA All-Star Game: Team Giannis vs. Team Lebron$100.00Mar 23, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan qualify from Group E?$190.00Mar 23, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win the 2022 World Cup?$200.00Mar 23, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Will Qatar score a goal?$200.00Mar 23, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium qualify from Group F?$350.00Mar 23, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco qualify from Group F?$220.00Mar 23, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Friday - Will Portugal beat South Korea?$270.00Mar 23, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karim Benzema play in the France v. Argentina World Cup Final?$100.00Mar 23, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEM2023 Australian Open Final: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas$1.00Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Monday - Will Portugal beat Uruguay?$10.00Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Monday - Brazil vs. South Korea$18.00Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".