0x5116f4ae1738cb6d36297d31a2e59ae7760229b7
0x5116f4ae1738cb6d36297d31a2e59ae7760229b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$200.31
Total PnL
$-228.99
Realised
$-5.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$200.31
$5.41
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
280 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
200 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
102 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$99.90Apr 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$24.00Apr 3, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$29.00Apr 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$96.80Apr 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$79.00Apr 2, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$144.00Apr 2, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$114.00Apr 1, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$39.60Apr 1, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$59.59Apr 1, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$96.10Mar 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$86.00Mar 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$6.68Mar 20, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.10Mar 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.80Mar 17, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$98.10Mar 15, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$98.80Mar 15, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$67.00Mar 15, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 15, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$200.00Mar 15, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$23.00Mar 14, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $43.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.