0x511f3e41b02d73666c2363e1aa5cb0fb8498b9c3
0x511f3e41b02d73666c2363e1aa5cb0fb8498b9c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$27.81
Total PnL
$-172.00
Realised
$-7.36
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the fight be won by submission?
28 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$27.81
$2.78
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
342 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-95.88
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
341 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-71.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?$74.72Jul 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$25.28Jul 11, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$99.81Jul 11, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
9/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $66.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.