Grandiose-Appreciation
0x512718dc13e682d00d141b8bf0465e52f2a1317f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$28.09
Total PnL
$-276.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in October?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$28.09
$3.09
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
206 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?
132 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2024$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-24.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?$120.00Oct 20, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$24.50Oct 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 in October?$25.00Oct 19, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$54.00Oct 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$46.00Oct 19, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?$50.77Oct 19, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?$0.00Oct 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?$11.00Sep 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$35.00Sep 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?$33.00Sep 24, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $43.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.