Glossy-Sunlamp-Prow
0x513273219652253f3ab739f202b7155423635547
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
113
Open notional
$28.43
Total PnL
$-409.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.13
$3.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$6.13
$3.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 25?
6 shares @ 45.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$6.13
$3.37
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.06
$0.71
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - July 25, 2PM ET
6 shares @ 47.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$4.16
$1.22
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 2PM ET
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.82
$-1.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
16 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
11 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 2PM ET$3.05Jul 25, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 25, 2PM ET$2.63Jul 25, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$6.34Jul 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.47Jul 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$3.58Jul 25, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 1PM ET$3.47Jul 25, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$6.23Jul 25, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$3.41Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$3.60Jul 25, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 11AM ET$6.22Jul 25, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$3.59Jul 25, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 11AM ET$3.47Jul 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 11AM ET$3.46Jul 25, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$11.19Jul 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$4.89Jul 25, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?$1.54Jul 25, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$4.78Jul 25, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$6.23Jul 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.35Jul 25, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 25?$2.84Jul 25, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.