Lively-Glockenspiel
0x513372c4a93be581c7b9364af1fb8152df3e0916
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$210.65
Total PnL
$2.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
31 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.90
$0.90
- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$30.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$30.34
$0.36
- NO
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$30.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 April 20-26?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$30.28
$0.30
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
30 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$30.18
$0.18
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
31 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.17
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$28.33Apr 21, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$30.00Apr 21, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 21, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,900 April 20-26?$30.00Apr 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$30.00Apr 21, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$30.00Apr 21, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$30.00Apr 21, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?$26.69Apr 21, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$27.87Apr 21, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?$28.36Apr 21, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?$28.52Apr 21, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$29.42Apr 21, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$30.18Apr 21, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.19Apr 21, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$30.00Feb 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$27.54Feb 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$29.04Feb 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?$26.64Feb 25, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?$28.22Feb 25, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29.53Feb 25, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $27.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.