Scornful-Windage
0x51363cd0ca9c71419938e617311e3519a6a73776
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$16.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
1030 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.0K
$2.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
610 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$610.07
$12.88
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
595 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$594.91
$1.87
- NO
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
520 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$520.00
$0.52
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
501 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$501.00
$10.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
501 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$500.76
$6.26
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1160 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$458.20
$-17.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$475.60Jun 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$421.55Jun 1, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$453.22May 28, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays$490.00May 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays$292.66May 27, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians$512.35May 25, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians$258.84May 25, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$24.66May 22, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$62.44May 22, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$179.37May 22, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$302.60May 22, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$191.85May 20, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$102.83May 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$544.61May 19, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$92.93May 16, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$582.47May 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$426.30May 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$436.10May 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$306.00May 9, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$593.04Mar 29, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $995.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".