Waterlogged-Schnitzel
0x51387a780787051b57c59573579038f733c13fdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.56
Total PnL
$-25.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.56
$1.56
- YES
Solana above $144 on June 20?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum above $2,500 on June 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?$3.00Sep 9, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$5.00Sep 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Jul 18, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Jul 18, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$1.02Jul 18, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$1.72Jul 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Jul 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on June 24?$3.00Jun 20, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET$1.00Jun 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by June 30?$1.00Jun 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?$1.00Jun 20, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Jun 20, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on June 20?$1.00Jun 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $144 on June 20?$1.00Jun 20, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $144 on June 20?$1.00Jun 20, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $144 on June 20?$1.00Jun 20, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$1.00Jun 20, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?$1.00Jun 20, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.00Jun 20, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Jun 20, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".