Fast-Swine
0x513ffa3455f77eea846cce90cffe26aa5d6f1492
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.59
Realised
$1.86
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $116K on August 10 at 5PM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $102K on September 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump and Putin shake hands by October 31?
459 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.63
- YES
Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
220 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.64
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3PM ET
160 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $109,000 on September 2 at 8PM ET?
136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $185 in August?
110 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $109,500 on September 2 at 8PM ET?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$0.58Oct 10, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$22.32Oct 10, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$22.32Oct 10, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$7.89Sep 28, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMFrance debt downgrade by December 31?$0.00Sep 13, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMFrance debt downgrade by December 31?$7.89Sep 13, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$16.29Sep 10, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?$16.20Sep 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.09Sep 9, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?$13.61Sep 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?$5.77Sep 9, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.64Sep 8, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?$3.32Sep 8, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?$3.65Sep 8, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.26Sep 7, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.02Sep 7, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.34Sep 7, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?$1.68Sep 7, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend the US Open Finals?$0.09Sep 6, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend the US Open Finals?$0.10Sep 6, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.