Decent-Bias
0x514a6dbe2f14d200b93f4d33dcf07892a560dad1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$769.76
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$108.54
$8.55
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.99
$2.99
- NO
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.50
$7.50
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.90
$1.90
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.27
$0.28
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$0.00
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.15
$-0.84
- NO
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
54 shares @ 91.8¢·now 89.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.52
$-1.47
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.31
$-4.69
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
312 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$45.31
$-4.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$104.97Jun 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$103.84Jun 12, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$104.39Jun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$106.86Jun 12, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$149.68Jun 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$102.87Jun 12, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$138.08Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$102.66Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$102.20Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$113.12Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$100.88Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$270.27Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$104.41Jun 12, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$188.68Jun 12, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$105.32Jun 12, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$103.29Jun 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$31.42Jun 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$19.22Jun 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$51.80Jun 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?$6.18Jun 11, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $48.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.