Flat-Checking
0x5154aa7f777491e56cd639a08034175e6cd2a301
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$160.34
Realised
$5.65
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 Week of July 27 2026?
200 shares @ 66.3¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$127.71
$-4.69
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?
200 shares @ 38.9¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$110.00
$32.28
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
170 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$109.38
$9.38
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of July 27 2026?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$97.76
$-2.24
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of July 27 2026?
134 shares @ 67.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$95.79
$5.79
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of July 27 2026?
160 shares @ 44.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$93.60
$22.79
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of July 27 2026?
180 shares @ 55.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$88.96
$-10.50
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 27 2026?
94 shares @ 53.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$86.32
$36.32
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of July 27 2026?
120 shares @ 60.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$84.60
$12.60
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 27 2026?
151 shares @ 48.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$80.73
$8.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in July?$97.48Jul 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $82.50 Week of July 27 2026?$25.70Jul 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 27 2026?$29.37Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $82.50 Week of July 27 2026?$25.70Jul 28, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 27 2026?$58.72Jul 28, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?$11.80Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$50.82Jul 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?$50.82Jul 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of July 27 2026?$3.57Jul 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 Week of July 27 2026?$42.97Jul 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of July 27 2026?$32.04Jul 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of July 27 2026?$4.99Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of July 27 2026?$40.96Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 Week of July 27 2026?$1.03Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of July 27 2026?$40.72Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 27 2026?$40.85Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 Week of July 27 2026?$40.51Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 27 2026?$40.69Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 Week of July 27 2026?$40.51Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of July 27 2026?$50.54Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.