Earnest-Ranch
0x5157d6bdabd3c67bb4d5bdea2435e45c4e1b7103
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$-3.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
50 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$50.00
$4.10
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 19?
90 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
40 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.32
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
30 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 19?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.80Oct 19, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.32Oct 19, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$45.90Oct 19, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $170 on October 19?$1.08Oct 19, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $180 on October 19?$1.10Oct 19, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?$57.00Oct 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?$37.62Oct 18, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$16.48Feb 9, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$15.00Dec 19, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$87.76Dec 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.08Dec 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.49Dec 16, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.56Dec 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.54Dec 16, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.53Dec 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.51Dec 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.26Dec 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.10Dec 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.06Dec 16, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$0.50Dec 16, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".