Jaded-Warmup
0x5158700af61a718f044c00ec6014228f152eee0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.42
Total PnL
$0.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?
11 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.17
$0.17
- NO
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.23
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?$11.00Nov 10, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$1.3KNov 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$819.00Nov 6, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$2.71Nov 6, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$4.67Nov 6, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$10.03Nov 6, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$2.60Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$4.60Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$4.72Jun 10, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.30Jun 10, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$4.00Apr 23, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$10.00Mar 15, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$4.70Mar 15, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.24Mar 15, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?$10.11Mar 15, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMECB increases interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$11.03Mar 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB increases interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$11.00Feb 5, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?$10.10Feb 5, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?$1.38Feb 5, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$3.01Feb 5, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $163.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.