Upset-Surfboard
0x515a68aa81e1543bb3d1e1757a54e244d108269a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$179.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
4225 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-792.58
- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 21 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3AM ET
619 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-560.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 26, 11AM ET
386 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 4AM ET
143 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times?
59 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by October 15?$0.22Oct 14, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$0.45Oct 10, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by October 15?$40.00Oct 7, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$173.60Oct 3, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$54.40Oct 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$100.00Oct 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$81.88Sep 26, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$80.00Sep 25, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$80.24Sep 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$73.00Sep 19, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$15.44Sep 19, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$16.75Sep 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$1.16Sep 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$30.60Sep 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$3.87Sep 19, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$3.78Sep 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$1.06Sep 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$10.20Sep 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$0.10Sep 19, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$62.33Sep 19, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $67.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".