Trusting-Pain
0x515d87541488f5b1dc9d9127f624e6a2249ec71b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Chewy say "Tariff" during earnings call?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on December 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
9 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?
7 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?
4 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?$0.97Jan 8, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?$0.02Jan 8, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?$4.35Dec 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?$2.95Dec 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?$7.30Dec 24, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?$7.30Dec 24, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?$7.31Dec 21, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?$7.31Dec 21, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?$7.32Dec 17, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7.32Dec 16, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7.32Dec 16, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?$6.33Dec 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?$0.99Dec 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?$6.33Dec 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chewy say "Tariff" during earnings call?$1.10Dec 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?$1.00Dec 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?$1.00Dec 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".