Ethical-Emerald
0x515f03872a47bc39b290c134ec727642bce43583
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$89.61
Total PnL
$0.13
Realised
$-2.10
Win rate
9%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
17 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$17.03
$0.11
- NO
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
14 shares @ 62.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.64
$2.83
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 74.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.42
$0.01
- NO
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.95
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
10 shares @ 56.4¢·now 45.8¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.41
$-1.03
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.38
$0.57
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
206 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.40
$1.33
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$3.00
$2.13
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
12 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.70
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$2.70
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$0.4314m ago
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$0.4314m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$2.1617m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$1.1820m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$1.1821m ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.9547m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$2.4952m ago
- TRADESELLWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$3.8452m ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.3552m ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.1952m ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.1952m ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.1953m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$4.501h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.991h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$4.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$4.952h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$4.952h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 14m ago
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
