0x515f880c38a64b5c1b89236189b08fc15d5ba606
0x515f880c38a64b5c1b89236189b08fc15d5ba606
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$162.27
Total PnL
$-670.48
Realised
$-269.24
Win rate
6%
111 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 21?
39 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$38.97
$10.52
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
37 shares @ 45.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$36.98
$20.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?
32 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$32.00
$14.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?
13 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$13.00
$5.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 11?
13 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$13.00
$5.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 11?
12 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$12.46
$5.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$10.00
$3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$3.69
$1.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
2 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$2.17
$1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on February 11?
3058 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-31.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 29?$0.00Apr 2, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 29?$15.00Apr 2, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 29?$26.85Mar 29, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 29?$1.71Mar 29, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 29?$10.95Mar 29, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?$42.98Mar 28, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 27?$16.00Mar 28, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?$39.00Mar 28, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 28?$15.25Mar 28, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 27?$45.97Mar 28, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 26?$0.00Mar 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?$1.46Mar 27, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?$3.65Mar 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?$5.11Mar 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?$3.65Mar 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?$14.60Mar 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 28?$10.22Mar 27, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?$3.51Mar 26, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?$19.41Mar 26, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?$2.11Mar 26, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 111 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".