Droopy-Probe
0x516881f5dfa00d629f24c12113d2d8dda637fa18
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.41
Total PnL
$-1.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.40Jun 2, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$3.19Jun 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$3.16May 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$3.80May 20, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$3.79May 13, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$7.54May 13, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$7.43Apr 4, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?$7.43Apr 4, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?$7.30Mar 16, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$7.30Mar 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$7.20Feb 24, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$7.20Feb 24, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$7.25Jan 30, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) Up or Down After Earnings?$1.74Nov 26, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $435?$1.74Nov 26, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 17 above $435?$1.67Nov 20, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Outdoor Boys post another video by October 31?$1.67Nov 5, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Outdoor Boys post another video by October 31?$1.67Oct 31, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 24?$1.68Oct 31, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 24?$1.67Oct 24, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.