Subtle-Underground
0x516dc6567a256fbbced0b0927a45ea35ae7ddd02
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.12
Total PnL
$-16.46
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.12
$0.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- LONG BEACH STATE BEACH
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
132 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- COWBOYS
Cowboys vs. Lions
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Knicks
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- HORNETS
Nuggets vs. Hornets
13 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$1.27Mar 24, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$0.13Mar 23, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$1.20Feb 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$10.62Feb 27, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$10.58Feb 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.38Feb 26, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$1.40Feb 25, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.38Feb 24, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.95Feb 24, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.95Feb 24, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.72Jan 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Hornets$2.66Dec 7, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?$3.00Dec 7, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Knicks$2.00Dec 5, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLong Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos$2.00Dec 5, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Dec 5, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$1.00Dec 5, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 4, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMJiangxi Open, Qualification: Elena Pridankina vs Zongyu Li$1.01Nov 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiangxi Open, Qualification: Elena Pridankina vs Zongyu Li$1.00Oct 25, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.