Spirited-Challenge
0x516f5e034a543acbcec33f04bbce8bbcd3a0c302
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-712.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
559 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 9AM ET
230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 1?
180 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
163 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-29.82
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
132 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
125 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
124 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-29.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?
123 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$8.39May 2, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.08May 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.33May 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.06May 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.72May 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.27May 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$5.27May 2, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$6.03May 2, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$25.45May 2, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$15.77May 2, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.32May 2, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00May 2, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$14.50May 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.34May 2, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.32May 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$8.70May 2, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.30May 2, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.07May 2, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.33May 2, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".