0x517062b4e48b621cf18b5ab2ddb7a44e9c33d8b2
0x517062b4e48b621cf18b5ab2ddb7a44e9c33d8b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$32.64
Total PnL
$-0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
17 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.91
$-0.09
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.88
$0.09
- YES
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.58
$-0.01
- YES
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
288 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$-0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$2.01Jun 20, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$2.01Jun 20, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$2.00Jun 20, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMBrescia: Mayar Sherif vs Elizara Yaneva$0.00Jun 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$2.00Jun 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00Jun 20, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMGrass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala$0.00Jun 20, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMGrass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala$6.80Jun 20, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Felix Gill vs Marco Trungelliti$0.00Jun 20, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Felix Gill vs Marco Trungelliti$0.00Jun 20, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMHalle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz$0.01Jun 20, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger$0.00Jun 20, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.