Wallet digest

active

Activity score

63/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$20.00

Total PnL

$-5.1K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 47

NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 24?
20 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026
$20.00
$0.26
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-300.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
504 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-252.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025
$0.00
$-150.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025
$0.00
$-150.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 24?$19.74Jan 23, 04:16 UTC
REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 12?$20.00Jan 23, 04:01 UTC
TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 12?$19.98Jan 13, 05:57 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$486.00Dec 18, 11:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$488.00Dec 18, 11:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$70.31Dec 18, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$3.69Dec 18, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$170.00Dec 18, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$93.00Dec 18, 09:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$150.00Dec 18, 08:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$121.50Dec 18, 08:53 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$320.00Dec 18, 08:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$460.00Dec 18, 08:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$100.00Dec 18, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$230.00Dec 18, 07:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$160.00Dec 18, 07:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 04:53 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$490.00Dec 18, 04:53 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry98 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk80 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $80.53
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 7, 01:38 UTC
Last active: Jan 23, 04:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:26:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data