Super-Charity-Humidity
0x5170a55fd0d88e6e79a978362a34c819d73bb5bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-616.82
Realised
$0.69
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
452 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona leading at halftime?
376 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?
179 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
174 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- KNICKS
Hawks vs. Knicks
105 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$9.70Jun 14, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.17Jun 14, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$5.07Jun 14, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$8.17Jun 14, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score$8.01Jun 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$6.07Jun 13, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score$10.14Jun 13, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$14.17Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$0.02Jun 13, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$2.05Jun 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$15.21Jun 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$10.17Jun 12, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$27.50Jun 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$19.18Jun 11, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$10.36Jun 1, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPallacanestro Brescia vs. Olimpia Milano$2.05May 31, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.04May 31, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.64May 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.03May 31, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.