Downright-Hypothesis
0x517966870a89510340caedc9bd4620a6b9742beb
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
273 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Lebron James be traded?
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ripple above $3.10 on February 7?
89 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Phoenix Suns?
43 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?$7.00Feb 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$14.32Feb 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$10.00Feb 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year?$10.00Feb 4, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$9.00Feb 4, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron James be traded?$2.00Feb 4, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Butler get traded to the Phoenix Suns?$15.00Feb 4, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?$5.00Feb 4, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?$5.00Feb 4, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $3.10 on February 7?$15.00Feb 4, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on February 7?$10.00Feb 4, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $9.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".