0x517db4a4bfd70c1423e83e3777efe65537b3c821
0x517db4a4bfd70c1423e83e3777efe65537b3c821
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$116.64
Total PnL
$-115.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 9?
59 shares @ 64.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$58.63
$20.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 12?
19 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$18.75
$6.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 15?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$18.18
$16.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?
8 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$8.38
$6.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 15?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$7.69
$5.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 16?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$5.02
$3.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 5?
1076 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 5?
824 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on April 5?
608 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 5?
604 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 17?$0.14Apr 16, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 17?$0.30Apr 16, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 17?$0.01Apr 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 17?$0.12Apr 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 17?$0.00Apr 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 17?$0.30Apr 16, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 17?$0.85Apr 16, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 17?$1.30Apr 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16?$0.43Apr 15, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16?$0.56Apr 15, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16?$0.42Apr 15, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?$1.76Apr 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.06Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.08Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.09Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.08Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.11Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.08Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.08Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 16?$0.08Apr 15, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".